📊 Utility Uranium Inventory Monitor
EIA-858 UMAR · End-of-year inventory · Unfilled requirements cliff · US civilian reactors
Updated May 2026
Source: EIA-858 UMAR 2024 (Sep 2025)
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126.4M lbs
End-2024 Inventory (P) — Utility
+10.6%
YoY Change (2023→2024)
~38 mos
Months of Forward Supply
184.2M lbs
Cumulative Unfilled 2025–2034
2028
Unfilled Requirements Cliff Year
2024 UMAR
Most Recent EIA-858 (Sep 2025)
Utilities are actively rebuilding inventory — but the forward coverage cliff is real. End-2024 utility uranium inventory reached 126.4M lbs (preliminary) — up +10.6% from 114.3M lbs at end-2023 and +23.4% from the 102.4M lbs trough at end-2022. Utilities purchased 55.9M lbs in 2024 vs ~40M lbs of annual reactor consumption, deliberately over-buying to rebuild stockpiles. At ~38 months of forward supply, there is no near-term procurement crisis. The urgency signal is further out: unfilled uranium requirements jump from 3.4M lbs/yr in 2027 to 11.5M lbs in 2028 and 20.5M lbs by 2030 — the re-contracting cliff where existing long-term contracts expire and must be replaced at market prices.
Utility Inventory at Year-End — Owners & Operators of US Civilian Reactors (M lbs U3O8e)
US Utility Uranium Inventory at Year-End · EIA-858 UMAR 2024 Table 22
2022 trough (post-Fukushima contracting drought)
Recovery (aggressive re-purchasing)
18-month urgency (~60M lbs)
18mo 0 50M 100M 2020 106.9M 2021 108.5M 2022 102.4M 2023 114.3M 2024 (P) 126.4M
Source: EIA-858 UMAR 2024, Table 22 (released Sep 2025). Utility owner/operator inventory only — excludes US supplier inventories (41.0M lbs additional at end-2024). (P) = Preliminary. U3O8e = uranium oxide equivalent. 18-month urgency threshold (~60M lbs) shown for reference — current inventory is well above this level.
Annual Unfilled Uranium Requirements — As of December 31, 2024 (M lbs U3O8e)
Unfilled Market Requirements by Year · EIA-858 UMAR 2024 Table 11 — The Re-Contracting Cliff
Well-covered (unfilled <5M lbs)
Emerging gap (5–15M lbs)
Critical gap (>15M lbs)
0 10M 20M 30M 2025 1.9M 2026 3.2M 2027 3.4M 2028 11.5M ▲ CLIFF 2029 11.9M 2030 20.5M 2031 32.6M 2032 33.8M 2033 39.0M 2034 26.4M
Source: EIA-858 UMAR 2024, Table 11 (released Sep 2025). Unfilled requirements = uranium utilities need but have no purchase contract for as of Dec 31, 2024. Cumulative total 2025–2034: 184.2M lbs. The 2028 jump from <4M/yr to 11.5M reflects mass expiry of contracts signed in the 2012–2017 low-price environment.
Form 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 (P) Δ 2022→2024
Uranium concentrates (U3O8) 21.9 19.7 18.9 22.6 23.8 +4.9M
Natural uranium hexafluoride (UF₆) 37.8 36.4 31.1 31.1 40.7 +9.6M
Enriched uranium hexafluoride (EUF₆) 40.7 43.2 46.1 55.6 55.0 +8.9M
Fabricated fuel (not yet inserted) 6.5 9.2 6.4 5.0 6.9 +0.5M
Total Utility Inventory 106.9 108.5 102.4 114.3 126.4 +24.0M (+23.4%)
Procurement & Coverage Signals
End-2024 utility inventory (P) 126.4M lbs
Months of forward supply ~38 months
18-month urgency threshold ~60M lbs
Buffer above urgency +66.4M lbs
2024 purchases (55.9M) vs consumption (~40M) +15.9M lbs net
Unfilled requirements — 2028 (cliff year) 11.5M lbs
Cumulative unfilled 2025–2034 184.2M lbs
Inventory signal status ■ Rebuilding
Inventory Composition — End-2024 (P)
Uranium concentrates (U3O8) 23.8M lbs 19%
Natural UF₆ 40.7M lbs 32%
Enriched UF₆ 55.0M lbs 44%
Fabricated fuel (not inserted) 6.9M lbs 5%
Total Utility 126.4M lbs
US supplier inventories (additional) 41.0M lbs
Total commercial (utility + supplier) 167.4M lbs
Inventory is rising — but the story is in unfilled requirements. The 2022 inventory trough (102.4M lbs) coincided with historically low contracting activity and reflected utilities drawing down stockpiles built during the Fukushima-era oversupply. Since 2022, utilities have purchased 40.5M + 51.6M + 55.9M lbs in three consecutive years of above-consumption buying to rebuild inventory. Enriched UF₆ — the highest-value, most reactor-ready form — has surged from 40.7M lbs (2020) to 55.0M lbs (2024P). The inventory rebuild is real and well-documented. However, inventory levels do not tell you how much uranium utilities still need to contract. Table 11 does.
The 2028 cliff: unfilled requirements jump +240% in a single year. As of December 31, 2024, US utilities had only 1.9M–3.4M lbs/yr of unfilled requirements through 2027 — those years are essentially fully contracted. In 2028, unfilled requirements spike to 11.5M lbs, reaching 20.5M in 2030, 32.6M in 2031, and 39.0M in 2033. This pattern reflects the mass expiry of long-term contracts signed during 2012–2017 when spot prices were at decade lows. Utilities that didn't re-contract during the 2020–2022 window now face an increasingly crowded market for 2028+ delivery. The cumulative unfilled position of 184.2M lbs through 2034 represents 4.6 years of total US consumption — all of which must be contracted at prevailing market prices.
Year End Inventory (M lbs) YoY Change Months of Supply Purchases (M lbs) Net Change vs Consumption
2020 106.9 32 48.9 +8.7M
2021 108.5 +1.5% 33 46.7 +1.6M
2022 102.4 −5.6% 31 40.5 −6.1M
2023 114.3 +11.6% 34 51.6 +11.9M
2024 (P) 126.4 +10.6% 38 55.9 +12.1M est.
Months of supply = end inventory ÷ (~40M lbs/yr ÷ 12). Purchases from EIA-858 UMAR Table S1a. Net change vs consumption is approximate; actual consumption varies by year based on fleet capacity factor and outage schedule. (P) = Preliminary 2024 data.
Year Annual Unfilled Cumulative Unfilled Max Anticipated Requirements Max Under Contracts % Unfilled
2025 1.9M 1.9M 57.6M 55.7M 3%
2026 3.2M 5.1M 52.8M 49.6M 6%
2027 3.4M 8.5M 45.3M 41.9M 7%
2028 11.5M ▲ 20.0M 41.8M 30.2M 28%
2029 11.9M 32.0M 33.6M 21.6M 35%
2030 20.5M 52.4M 36.9M 16.4M 56%
2031 32.6M 85.0M 40.8M 8.2M 80%
2032 33.8M 118.8M 41.1M 7.4M 82%
2033 39.0M 157.8M 41.0M 2.0M 95%
2034 26.4M 184.2M 27.7M W >95%
Total 2025–2034 184.2M 418.5M 234.3M 44%
W = withheld to avoid disclosure. Max Anticipated Requirements = total uranium expected to be needed (enrichment feed + direct use). Max Under Contracts = maximum deliverable under existing purchase agreements including options. Unfilled = must be sourced via new contracts or spot purchases. Source: EIA-858 UMAR 2024 Tables 11 & 12.
Data source: EIA Form 858 — Uranium Marketing Annual Report (UMAR) 2024, released September 2025. Inventory data from Table 22: Natural and Enriched Uranium Inventories (owners and operators of US civilian nuclear power reactors only; excludes US supplier inventories). Unfilled requirements from Table 11; maximum anticipated requirements from Table 12. Historical purchases from Table S1a. Annual requirement of ~40M lbs/yr used for months-of-supply calculation (EIA-858 UMAR basis — uranium purchased/required for reactor loading). Does not include DOE/NNSA government stockpiles. (P) = Preliminary 2024 figures; final 2024 data will be published in the 2025 UMAR (expected June 2026). W = withheld by EIA to avoid disclosure of individual company data.
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uranium-edge · Utility Uranium Inventory Monitor · Updated May 2026 · Source: EIA-858 UMAR 2024 (Sep 2025) Tables 22, 11, 12, S1a · All figures M lbs U3O8e · Not investment advice