Physical Uranium Trust Tracker

SPUT · Yellow Cake · Uranium Royalty Corp  ·  91.7M lbs U3O8 held combined  ·  ATM mechanism + premium/discount signal
Updated May 21, 2026 Sources: Sprott IR · YCA AIM · UROY IR · UxC U3O8 $85.60/lb
▼ ATM CLOSED — SPUT trading at discount to NAV (-5.5%) Systematic physical uranium buying suspended · spot floor demand removed Discount: -5.5%  |  NAV: C$20.63  |  Price: C$19.49  |  ATM trigger: price > C$20.63
SPUT Prem/Disc
-5.5%
ATM closed — no buying
YCA Prem/Disc
-2.5%
AIM London discount
UROY Prem/Disc
+19.8%
Royalty optionality premium
Combined Holdings
91.7M lbs
64.1% of annual world supply
SPUT Holdings
67.5M lbs
C$1.5B ATM shelf remaining
ATM Buying (2026)
0.0M lbs
vs 30.1M lbs in 2021
Trust Snapshot — May 21, 2026
U‑U.TO
Sprott Physical Uranium Trust
TSX · CAD · Physical Only
C$19.49
-5.5% DISCOUNT
67.5Mlbs U3O8 held
C$20.63NAV / unit
C$5.96Btotal NAV
289Munits O/S
YCA.L
Yellow Cake plc
AIM London · GBP · Physical + KAP Offtake
£5.84
-2.5% DISCOUNT
21.7Mlbs U3O8 held
£5.99NAV / share
$1.41BNAV (USD)
185Mshares O/S
UROY
Uranium Royalty Corp
Nasdaq / TSX · USD · Physical + Royalties
$4.00
+19.8% PREMIUM
2.5M lbsphysical uranium
$3.34NAV / share
$162Mphysical NAV
$180Mroyalty NAV
Combined Holdings — 91.7M lbs U3O8  =  64.1% of annual global production
SPUT 73.6%
YCA 23.7%
URC
67.5M lbs
SPUT
21.7M lbs
Yellow Cake
2.5M lbs
UROY
~143M lbs/yr
global production
SPUT — Signal & Mechanism
The ATM mechanism is what makes SPUT unique. When SPUT trades at a premium to NAV, it can issue new units at a profit and immediately use those proceeds to buy physical uranium on the spot market. This creates a self-reinforcing loop: spot rises → SPUT premium expands → ATM opens → more spot buying → spot rises further. In 2021, SPUT purchased ~30M lbs in under 4 months, driving spot from $32 → $65/lb. When SPUT trades at a discount (current: -5.5%), the ATM cannot activate, and this systematic bid is entirely removed from the spot market.
SPUT Price (C$) vs Implied NAV — 52 Week
SPUT Price (C$) vs Implied NAV — 52 Week C$11.2 C$15.3 C$19.3 C$23.3 C$27.3 C$19.49 NAV C$20.63 Price Implied NAV May'25 Jul'25 Sep'25 Nov'25 Jan'26 Mar'26
SPUT ATM Mechanism — How It Works
1
Spot rises → SPUT price exceeds NAV → premium opens
Trigger: price > C$20.63 NAV/unit
2
ATM facility opens → SPUT issues new units into market
C$1.5B shelf remaining
3
Proceeds used to buy physical uranium on spot
Uranium held at Cameco / ConverDyn facilities
4
More physical bought → spot rises further → cycle repeats
Self-reinforcing bull loop when ATM is open
×
Current: ATM CLOSED — -5.5% discount
Systematic spot buying suspended · near-term bearish signal
SPUT Re-rate Scenarios → Spot Impact
ATM Closed (Current)BEARISH
Disc: -5.5%ATM buying:
Trust buying paused — structural spot bid absent
Par / Flat NAVNEUTRAL
Disc: +0.0%ATM buying:
ATM eligibility threshold — zero systematic buying
+3% Premium (ATM Opens)BULLISH
Prem: +3.0%ATM buying: ~3.5M lbs/yr
Systematic spot buying resumes
+10% Premium (2022 scenario)VERY BULLISH
Prem: +10.0%ATM buying: ~14.8M lbs/yr
Peak ATM mode — 2021–2022 precedent
SPUT Implied NAV at Various Spot Prices — vs Current Price C$19.49
Spot (USD/lb)USD/CAD rateImplied NAV/unit (CAD)vs C$19.49ATM Status
$70/lb0.718C$16.89-13.3% discCLOSED
$80/lb0.718C$19.30-1.0% discCLOSED
$85.60/lb0.718C$20.63-5.5% (current)CLOSED
$92/lb0.718C$22.18+13.8% premATM OPEN
$100/lb0.718C$24.11+23.7% premACTIVE
$120/lb0.718C$28.94+48.5% premPEAK MODE
NAV = holdings × spot ÷ USD/CAD ÷ units outstanding (289M). USD/CAD 0.718 = May 2026.
Premium / Discount Comparison — 8 Quarters
SPUT vs YCA vs UROY — Quarterly Premium / Discount to NAV (%)
Quarter SPUT (U-U.TO) Yellow Cake (YCA.L) UROY SPUT ATM
Q2 '24+2.1%-8.0%+22.0%▲ OPEN
Q3 '24+1.8%-10.1%+18.5%▲ OPEN
Q4 '24-0.5%-12.3%+12.0%■ CLOSED
Q1 '25+0.8%-10.4%+16.0%■ CLOSED
Q2 '25+1.5%-9.8%+14.0%■ MARGINAL
Q3 '25-1.2%-13.1%+10.0%■ CLOSED
Q4 '25-3.1%-15.2%+8.0%▼ CLOSED
Q1 '26-5.5%-2.5%+19.8%▼ CLOSED
SPUT ATM Buying History — Annual Physical Uranium Purchased
30M 20M 10M 0 30.1M 2021 14.8M 2022 4.9M 2023 0.6M 2024 0.2M 2025 0.0M 2026
2021–2022: ATM purchased ~45M lbs · drove spot $32 → $65/lb. 2024–2026: ATM inactive (discount). Buying resumes only if SPUT re-rates to premium.
Yellow Cake & UROY — Detail
Yellow Cake plc (YCA.L) — Kazatomprom Relationship
Holdings21.7M lbs U3O8
KAP offtake right$100M/yr at spot
Implied lbs/yr at $85.60~1.2M lbs/yr
KAP country riskKazakhstan (medium)
ATM mechanismNone — AIM placings only
Persistent discount vs SPUT~10–16% typical
YCA's structural discount vs SPUT reflects four factors: (1) No ATM mechanism — can't systematically buy physical. (2) AIM illiquidity — smaller market, wider bid/ask. (3) GBP currency friction for USD/CAD uranium investors. (4) KAP concentration risk — 100% offtake from one state-owned Kazakh counterparty.
UROY Royalty Portfolio — $180M NAV
ProjectOperatorRoyaltyStageNAV
Roughrider Rio Tinto GR 2% Dev. $45M
Hurricane NexGen GR 1% Feas. $38M
Langer Heinrich Paladin GR 1.5% Prod. $31M
McClean Lake Orano NPI 2% Prod. $27M
Christie Lake UEC NPI 5% Expl. $22M
Other Various Various Various $17M
Total Royalty NAV $180M
UROY's +19.8% premium to physical NAV reflects royalty optionality. Roughrider (Rio Tinto) and Hurricane (NexGen) are two of the highest-grade undeveloped deposits in the Athabasca Basin.
Sources: Sprott Asset Management IR (sprott.com/uranium) · Yellow Cake plc AIM disclosures (yellowcakeplc.com) · Uranium Royalty Corp IR (uraniumroyalty.com) · UxC spot $85.60/lb (May 21, 2026) · USD/CAD 0.718 (May 2026)  ·  Notes: SPUT NAV estimated from holdings × spot ÷ FX ÷ units O/S. YCA NAV in GBP (£1 = $1.27). UROY royalty NAV based on analyst consensus estimate — not company-disclosed. Premium/discount to NAV reflects market price vs estimated NAV; accuracy ±3–5%. Not investment advice.